NFL Lines and Picks: Week 5, 2016

By | October 7, 2016
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Hail To The District writer Dash Kannan is back, providing his predictions and thoughts for each game on the slate for Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season.

A 9-5 week brings the return of the prodigal gambler to his rightful throne. As I make my Week 5 picks, keep this in mind: I would not hypothetically wager on all of these games. I would hypothetically bet on a select few. But I’m giving you what my opinions are for all of these games… just for educational purposes.

(Picks in bold)

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (+3.5) — (Editor’s Note: pick made on Wednesday): I’m not sure if Carson Palmer plays this week or even plays well, but after watching the 49ers blow a 14-0 lead against Dallas, I don’t know if Blaine Gabbert can beat anyone worthwhile. I’m still not sure why Colin Kaepernick isn’t starting unless it’s an attempt to subdue his recent activism… (YES IT IS).

Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens (-4) — It pains me to make this pick, but although I think the Redskins have a more talented roster, the Ravens are better coached and don’t really make mistakes. Also, despite problems in their secondary, Baltimore’s defense is 10x better than Washington’s. Take the Ravens to win going away.

Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings (-6.5) — This seems like a trap game to me. I know Minnesota has been just mauling opponents defensively, but I’m still not a believer in Sam Bradford. I have a hunch the Texans keep it close the whole time.

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (-3.5) — Both teams suck. But I feel like the Dolphins are one of those bad teams that plays well against really bad teams like Tennessee.

New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns (+10.5) — The Browns come through with the backdoor cover after Tom Brady returns to throw 4 touchdown passes and 300+ yards. 10.5 is a lot of points.

New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) — For some reason, I feel Ryan Fitzpatrick can recover his form from last year. The Pittsburgh defense is actually pretty bad and I think the Jets can stay in this one.

Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts (-4.5) — Both of these teams are awful. The difference is that the Bears were expected to be awful while the Colts are just a major joke other than Andrew Luck. I actually think the Bears are going to win this game and Chuck Pagano’s job is rockier than ever.

Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos (-5.5) — Boy was I wrong about the Falcons. Kyle Shanahan has revolutionized Matt Ryan and the two-headed running back tandem of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman into a scoring machine. Oh yea, Julio Jones had over 300 yards receiving last week. Take the Broncos though at home. There will be no Tevin Coleman with his sickle cell trait not allowing him to play at Mile High’s altitude.

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams (-2.5)  — Sorry, I am still not a believer in Jeff Fisher. He’s going to start losing sooner rather than later.

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (-3.5) — With the Chargers doing a damn good job of tanking by arranging for all of their best players to get injured – Keenan Allen, Danny Woodhead, Jason Verrett – the Raiders should have this in the bag. But this is still Philip Rivers ..so don’t put money on this.

Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys (+1) — Dak Prescott finally plays what seems to be a good team and loses. I actually think this game won’t be close.

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (-7.5) — I know this game is at Lambeau on Sunday night, but there is no way Odell Beckham Jr. doesn’t rebound from that debacle on Monday Night. After two straight weeks of being emotionally destroyed in high profile match-ups, this game should be a good one. I think the Packers still pull it off, but probably by three or so points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-7) — The caveat to this pick being that Cam Newton does not miss this game with a concussion. The Panthers should roll to their second win of the year. That being said, I’m always going to think of Jameis Winston as a big time player so I’m excited to see him on Monday Night.

Last Week: 9-5
Season To Date: 24-20

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