NFL 2017 Week 4 Lines and Picks

By | September 28, 2017
Share Button

After the weirdest and most interesting NFL week in which the players rallied for a cause that has been ignored by the political elite in this country for far too long – mostly because of a tweet by President Donald Trump, which has completely distracted all of you from issues like North Korea and the failure to pass the healthcare bill (those things still exist) – many NFL teams looked completely out of sorts such as the Steelers having Alejandro Villanueva as the only player out on the sideline and losing to the Chicago Bears and the Oakland Raiders coming out completely flat against the Washington Redskins.

In addition, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ and Miami Dolphins’ hangover from the hurricanes seemed to have been delayed a week to Week 3. This all led to a terrible gambling weekend for many people… including me. Anyway, moving on like Kirk Cousins on a franchise tag… here’s Week 4.

(Picks in bold)

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5) — Last week’s win against the Pittsburgh Steelers should do wonders for the Bears’ confidence. There is one thing to look for, though: if this game goes against how I think it will, I wonder how long John Fox will keep Mitch Trubisky on the bench behind Mike Glennon. Glennon hasn’t played well and may have cost the Bears a loss in Week 1 against the Falcons.

New Orleans Saints at Miami Dolphins (+3) — Another week in London. I’m not buying the New Orleans Saints yet. Their defense did a much better job last week against the Carolina Panthers in a must-win game, but Panthers Offensive Coordinator Mike Shula hasn’t figured out his offense yet. On the other hand, I think Adam Gase will light into his Dolphins this week, and Jay Cutler should actually be involved in the game. As for as Miami’s defense, I do expect a better effort than there was against the New York Jets.

Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons (-8) — While Buffalo has played inspired under Sean McDermott, teams like the Bills that are offensively challenged usually hang around for a half or so against an explosive offense like the Atlanta Falcons. I think the Falcons pull away in the 3rd quarter, but watch out for Buffalo the rest of the year.

Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots (-9) — This may be the week in which the dominoes start to fall in Charlotte. The New England Patriots should have no problem beating the Panthers and I expect another dormant offensive performance by Cam Newton and crew. Shula should be the first on the chopping block because the Panthers haven’t figured out what they are doing on offense yet: New England by multiple touchdowns.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (+3) — Do the Baltimore Ravens come out inspired this week after getting their ass beat by the Jaguars? Yes. Do they win this game? No. Both teams had disappointing weeks, but the Steelers are much more talented.

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-7) — The Los Angeles Rams have the league’s highest scoring offense (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!), and they will keep this game close because Sean McVay is the real deal. However, a defense that gave up over 200 rushing yards to the Washington Redskins will be destroyed on the ground unless Wade Phillips can beef up the middle of that line by Sunday.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+3.5) — The Cincinnati Bengals figured out their identity in a loss to Green Bay and that offense looked infinitely better. The Browns are still bad. If Cincinnati doesn’t win this week, Andy Dalton is done and it’s AJ McCarron time in Queen City.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (+1.5) — The Tennessee Titans are really good and may be the second or third best team in the AFC. The Texans may be a playoff team, but the fact simply may be that Deshaun Watson is not ready yet. I’d like to see Bill O’Brien work Watson out of the pocket away from the offensive line that is still without Duane Brown. The Texans don’t have an identity yet, and that needs to be established if they want to beat good teams.

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Jets (+3.5) — Unless Blake Bortles reverts to Chortles Bortles, the Jags should win this game behind THE BEST DEFENSE IN THE LEAGUE.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers (EVEN) — The Chargers are too talented to be 0-4. Right? RIGHT?!

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (-7) — I think Carson Palmer may be done, and even if he isn’t, this Cardinals team is really not that good. The only guy that scares defenses is Larry Fitzgerald and the future Hall-of-Famer is a shell of himself nowadays. The 49ers showed an ability to score points last week and should be competitive for a 3rd straight week.

New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3) — I’m going to regret picking the New York Giants, but I don’t see Tampa Bay being as good as I thought they were. Jameis Winston still loves throwing the ball to the other team and for a defense that lives off of turnovers from the secondary, the Giants should be able to eke this out. However, if Tampa Bay gets ahead early, it may be over… quick.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-2.5) — Maybe I should bet against Trevor Siemian after last week, but Oakland showed a lot of warts after getting beat down by Washington last week. Denver’s defense should make a major impact this week and I don’t think this game is close.

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks (-13) — I WANT THIS GAME OFF MY DAMN TV. But to be serious, I don’t see Seattle beating anyone by 13 – not with that offensive line.

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs (-7) — Not sure how the Redskins a 7-point dog here, but the smart money must be on Kansas City this week. Not sure I buy this… Washington looked incredible last week and I think the defense may be legit. Playing in Arrowhead is a tough ask, but this may be one of the best games of the year.

Week 3 Record: 4-12
Season to Date Record: 22-25

Editor’s note: Dash’s prediction for the Minnesota-Detroit game has been withheld, as Vegas has not yet set a line for it as of when this post was published.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *