Last week was my best of picking games since the Chiefs were still good.
A lot of favorites covered last week, but one of the biggest ones that didn’t were the Andy Reid-led Kansas City squad, which seemed to have forgotten what the forward pass is. Alex Smith doesn’t throw past ten yards anymore and the Patriots and Steelers are clear runaways in the AFC. The world is normal again.
On to Week 13!
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-2) — Washington is a better team even with all the injuries and that is solely because Jason Garrett has no idea how to coach a team that has no Ezekiel Elliott and a banged up Tyron Smith. When the Cowboys lose this game, expect the hot seat to get even hotter. The Redskins win and the Eagles clinch the NFC East.
Detroit Lions at Baltimore Ravens (-3) — On paper, the Ravens should win this game – the Lions are on the road and Matthew Stafford, who has been underwhelming this year, is banged up. But this is the kind of the game the Lions pull out. If the Lions get ahead early, I am 90% convinced Baltimore will not be able to come back.
San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears (-3.5) — There were two guys in my fantasy league who proclaimed Mitch/Mitchell/Mitchimus Trubisky a future star after his debut against the Vikings on Monday Night Football eons ago. Let’s pump the brakes? Trubisky has a lot of growing up to do, but he’ll be fine against this 49ers team, which continues to tank towards the first pick.
Minnesota Vikings at Atlanta Falcons (-3) — Maybe I’m overhyping Atlanta’s resurgence, but Matt Ryan seems to be in sync again with all of his receivers, primarily Julio Jones. Minnesota is a team that can be passed on and while Case Keenum has been outstanding this season, it is asking for too much for him to keep up with the Falcons’ attack.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (+8.5) — I’m going to regret making this pick. That’s all I have.
Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins (+1) — Vance Joseph is going to be done after this season and maybe when he is fired, he can go back to Miami and get his old job as Dolphins’ defensive coordinator back from Adam Gase, the former Broncos’ offensive coordinator. What a clusterfuck both these teams are.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-7) — Tom Savage is an abomination to the quarterback position, but it’s not like Marcus Mariota has been much better this season. Mariota has thrown for just 3 touchdowns and a whopping 7 interceptions the last three weeks contributing to a 9 TD and 12 INT season so far. The Titans are better than the Texans, but I’m not sure they are seven points better than anyone.
Kansas City Chiefs at New York Jets (+4.5) — Everyone and their mom is going to be picking the Jets’ this week so go opposite and pick the Chiefs. Rut aside, this team is still better than the Jets and Alex Smith is fighting for his NFL career here.
Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5) — The Jaguars’ defense is going to be angry after it gave up 27 points in a loss to the Cardinals last week. Do they produce enough to win going away while playing with Blake Bortles at quarterback? I say yes.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers (EVEN) — Both these teams aren’t very good, but they held their own against vastly superior opponents last week in the Falcons and Steelers. Do the Bucs have what it takes to win in Green Bay with Ryan Fitzpatrick? Maybe not, but am I confident picking Brett Hundley to win a game the rest of the year? No.
Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Chargers (-14) — In Josh Gordon’s return, the Browns play inspired football, take a lead into halftime, and then eventually lose. But hey they will cover!
New York Giants at Oakland Raiders (-6.5) — The Giants are not that much worse than the Raiders, especially if Oakland is without Amari Cooper after Michael Crabtree has already been suspended for this game.
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-4) — The Saints’ secondary is banged up and the Rams and Redskins exposed serious weaknesses in the Saints’ defense and offense respectively. Look for Carolina to take advantage.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (+7) — Weird matchup and mind-scratching pick considering the Rams brutalized the Cardinals the first time they played this season, but Arizona is well coached and is somehow lingering at 5-6. The Rams will win, but it will be a lot closer than people think.
Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks (+5) — I think the Seahawks are done and I think season is the end of the great Seattle defense. The Legion of Boom is down to Earl Thomas and the many players on that front seven are getting up there in age. It’s over in Seattle, and Pete Carroll and John Schneider will have to retool and reinvent that roster to win in a different way.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+5) — This is going to be one of those games where in the first quarter, both teams are very close, but then Pittsburgh starts converting touchdowns and the Bengals settle for field goals, and before you know it, the cameras will pan away to a sad looking Bengals’ fan with 3:02 left in the third quarter as she realizes that this is not the year for the Bengals again.